WBI Courses and Events Financing the Risks of Natural Disasters
 
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Agenda ( * denotes speakers who are to be confirmed)

Monday • June 2, 2003

0800–
0900
  Breakfast (outside Preston Auditorium, First Floor, World Bank MC Building, 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C.)
   
0900–
0915
 

Opening Address (Preston Auditorium)

How does natural disaster insurance fit into the overall framework of financial sector policy and economic development? This presentation will examine the role that the World Bank has played in facilitating the development of domestic insurance markets for personal property coverage for natural disasters. What has been the rationale for these efforts, and how have they enabled some developing countries to access international reinsurance markets?

     

Session I:
The World Bank Perspective on National Catastrophe Risk Management

     

Until recently, the World Bank has been known mainly as a provider of reconstruction loans to countries affected by natural disasters. However, with the launch of the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool in 2000—a program heavily supported by the World Bank—development of catastrophe risk transfer solutions for emerging market countries has become an important part of the World Bank’s lending for natural disasters. This session will present the World Bank’s perspective on catastrophe risk management, identify the rationale for national catastrophe insurance programs, and present the lessons learned from more than four years of technical work in this area.

     
0915–
0940
 

The Impact of Catastrophes on National and Regional Economies: The Case Study of Gujarat

This work will present the conclusions from an econometric assessment of the impact of the recent Gujarat earthquake on the economic development of the state and India as a whole. Using a set of well-developed economic indicators, this presentation will offer insights for quantifying countries’ economic exposure to natural perils given their unique risk characteristics.

     
0940–
1000
 

Applicability of Corporate Risk Management Techniques to Catastrophe Risk Management at the Country Level

This presentation will focus on the key elements of corporate risk management techniques. How do these techniques apply to the management of catastrophe risk exposures at the country level?

     
1000–
1030
 

Introduction to the World Bank Catastrophe Insurance Practice: Key Lessons Learned and the Road Ahead

This presentation will offer a panoramic survey of major ongoing World Bank projects in the area of catastrophe risk insurance. It will summarize the main results of this work, lessons learned, plans for the future, and challenges lying ahead.

     
1030–
1100
 

Coffee Break

     

Session II:
Public-Private Partnerships in National Catastrophe Risk Management

     
Insuring catastrophe risks is challenging by the very nature of the risk. Other factors further complicate the task: low capitalization of local insurers, low local demand for insurance products, volatility of global reinsurance prices, lack of reinsurance capacity, and the absence of reliable risk models. Finding workable solutions for these problems transcends the domain of the private sector and requires active government involvement. The session will provide market and government perspectives on developing public/private partnerships in the area of catastrophe insurance business.
     
1100–
1125
 

Assessing the World Bank’s Contribution to the Development of Global Catastrophe Insurance Markets: A Market Perspective

How does the global reinsurance industry assess the contribution of the World Bank to building public/private partnerships in this field? What is the market’s view on the appropriate role that the World Bank should play in developing catastrophe insurance markets around the world?

     
1125–
1150
 

A Reinsurer’s Perspective on the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool (TCIP)

For several years, since the inception of the program, Munich Re has been playing the lead role in providing catastrophe reinsurance coverage for the Turkish Catastrophe Insurance Pool. What have been the main characteristics of the TCIP? This presentation will offer Munich Re’s views on what made the TCIP a “reinsurable” scheme.

     
1150–
1210
 

Managing Catastrophe Exposures in Mexico: Country Experience

  • Manuel Aguilera, Chairman, Comisión Nacional de Seguros y Finanzas, Mexico
     
1210–
1250
 

Discussion

     
1250–
1400
 

Lunch (East Dining Room, C-1 Level, MC Building, World Bank)

  • Keynote Speaker: Kenneth Froot, Professor of Finance, Harvard University (Topic: Market Failures and National Catastrophe Insurance Markets: Is There a Role for Governments?) (download 244 kb PowerPoint presentation)
     

Session III:
Why Is Catastrophe Risk Management an Important Part of the World Bank's Country Assistance Strategies?

     
1400–
1530
 

How can emerging market countries enlist the technical and financial support of the World Bank for building national catastrophe risk transfer programs? Tapping into the firsthand experience of the World Bank country directors in severely exposed countries, this session will offer unique insights into the rationale and the internal process for making catastrophe insurance programs a part of Country Assistance Strategies.

  • Marilou Jane D. Uy, Director, Financial Sector Operations and Policy Department, World Bank (Moderator)

  • Lalit Raina, Lead Financial Sector Specialist, World Bank

  • Ajay Chhibber, Country Director for Turkey, World Bank

  • Joseph Saba, Country Director for Iran, World Bank

  • Orsalia Kalantzopoulos, Country Director and Regional Coordinator for South East Europe Country Unit, World Bank
     
1530–
1600
 

Coffee Break

     

Session IV:
Building National Risk Transfer Programs: International Experience

1600–
1730
 

Several countries have created various risk transfer mechanisms to address their exposures to catastrophe risks such as earthquakes and hurricanes. These mechanisms have enabled countries to increase insurance penetration for property catastrophe insurance coverage; aggregate the risk at the national and state level; and transfer the bulk of the risk to international reinsurance markets. This session provides a broad overview of the key principles of major national catastrophe insurance programs.

     

Session V:
Brainstorming on Building an Effective Partnership Between the World Bank and the Global Reinsurance Industry
(by invitation)

 
1730–
1900
 

A fundraising event in support of catastrophe insurance initiatives of the World Bank Insurance Practice Group.

  • Rodney Lester, Head of World Bank Insurance Practice, FSOPD, World Bank (Moderator)

  • World Bank Executive Directors for: UK, US, Germany, France, Netherlands, Italy, and Japan *

  • Global reinsurers and reinsurance brokers *

  • Other development donors *
     
1800–
1930

concurrently
 

Cocktails and Reception (MC 12th Floor Gallery)

     
1930–
2100
 

Dinner (MC 12th Floor Gallery)

  • Keynote Speaker: Anthony S. Lowe, Director, Mitigation Division, and Federal Insurance Administrator, Federal Emergency Management Agency, U.S. Department of Homeland Security (download 64 kb Word document)
     
 

Tuesday • June 3, 2003

0800–
0900
 

Breakfast (outside Preston Auditorium, First Floor, World Bank MC Building, 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C.)

     

Session VI—Track A:
The Latest Developments in the International Reinsurance Market and the Implications for Development Countries
(Preston Auditorium)

     

The session will provide the latest feedback from different segments of the global reinsurance and capital markets on the availability of global reinsurance capacity for catastrophe risk for developing countries. The session will also provide important insights for national reinsurers in these countries with regard to placing retrocession coverage for catastrophe risk.

     
0900–
1030
 
  • Tad Walker, Head of Catastrophe, Research, and Exposure Control, Member of Global Executive Management, Partner, Re Zurich (Moderator)

Placing Reinsurance Coverage for TCIP: Key Lessons for Other Countries

Allocating Reinsurance Capacity to Emerging Markets: A View from Bermuda

Retrocession vs. Alternative Markets in Managing Reinsurer’s Catastrophe Accumulations

Discussion – 20 min

     

Session VI—Track B:
Integrating Risk Transfer and Mitigation
(Room MC7W-150)

     

Mitigation and catastrophe insurance constitute two important, closely linked parts of national catastrophe risk management. This session will explore the main linkages between these two areas of risk management, and provide an analytical framework for assessing the economic benefits of mitigation-related investments by governments and the private sector.

     
0900–
1030
 
  • Peter Yanev, President and Co-founder, EQE (Moderator)

Determining the Financial Feasibility of Mitigation Investments: Analytical Approach

The World Bank Approach to Mitigation

Comprehensive Framework for Risk Management and Disaster Mitigations—Lessons Learned and Strategic Outlook

  • Christoph Pusch, Senior Environmental Engineer, ECSSD, World Bank

Discussion – 20 minutes

     
1030–
1100
 

Coffee Break (outside of Preston Auditorium)

     

Session VII:
Assessing the Role of the Government versus Private Companies in the Catastrophe Risk Market
(Preston Auditorium)

1100–
1230
 

What can governments do to help national catastrophe risk markets develop while reducing their own exposure? This panel will address the key issues of government involvement in managing national catastrophe accumulations. It will also review major policy and risk management considerations for certain types of governmental intervention in catastrophe risk markets.

  • Gerard Caprio, Director, Financial Sector Operations and Policy Department, World Bank (Moderator)

Governments as Reinsurers-of-Last-Resort: The Japanese Experience

How to Minimize the Government Exposure to Catastrophe Risk in an Insurance Program

Protecting a Catastrophe Reinsurance Pool from a Big One: How Much Reinsurance Is Enough?

Discussion — 20 minutes
     
1300–
1400
 

Lunch (East Dining Room, MC-C1 Level, World Bank Main Complex, 1818 H Street)

  • Keynote Speaker: Professor Neil A. Doherty, Ronald A. Rosenfeld Professor of Insurance and Risk Management, Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania
     

Session VIII:
Quantifying the Risk Exposures of World Bank Client Countries: Case Studies

     
These panels will provide a broad overview of the latest catastrophe risk assessment techniques that can help countries to estimate their catastrophe exposures and determine the true cost of their catastrophic risk. Applying a case study format, these breakout sessions will present the main outcomes of the risk assessment and modeling work of several different countries.
     
1400–
1530
 

Breakout Session I: Measuring Seismic Risk in Turkey: Latest Modeling Techniques (Room MC7W-150)

EQECAT’s Turkey Seismic Model

Willis’ Turkey Risk Model

Risk Management Solutions’ Turkey Risk Model

     
   

Breakout Session II: Risks of Floods in Eastern and Central Europe (Room MC8W-150)

  • Howard Leikin, Chief Actuary, U.S. Federal Emergency Mangement Agency, Department of Homeland Security (Moderator)

Risks of Floods in Poland

Flood Risk Models: Reinsurers’ Perspective

     
   

Breakout Session III: Measuring Catastrophe Risk Exposures in China and India (Room MC9W-150)

Quantifying the Catastrophe Exposures from Cyclones, Floods and Earthquakes in 4 Indian States

Analysis of Earthquake Risk Exposure for China

Catastrophe Risk Models for Asia from the User Perspective

     
1530–
1600
 

Coffee Break

     

Session IX—Track A:
How Can Insurance Regulators and Government Policymakers Manage Catastrophe Risk?
(Breakout Room MC7W-150)

 
The session will examine the major implications of catastrophe risk exposures for the solvency of domestic insurers. The session will also assess the effectiveness of different regulatory techniques for protecting domestic insurers against insolvencies caused by catastrophic events.
1600–
1730
 

Risks of Natural Perils and Their Implications for the Indian Insurance Industry

  • N. Rangachary, Chairman, Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority, India

Regulation of Catastrophe Risk in Colombia

Managing Catastrophe Exposures in Mexico: Country Experience

Insurance Regulatory Issues Arising from Natural Disasters in South America

Discussion — 20 minutes

     

Session IX—Track B:
Providing Access to Catastrophe Insurance Coverage for the Poor: Key Factors for Success
(Preston Auditorium)

     
In developing countries, access to property insurance, including coverage for natural perils, has mainly been restricted to the upper- and sometimes middle class. Given the latest developments in insurance technology around the world and some product innovations, this session will examine whether some major reductions in costs can be achieved to make insurance more affordable for lower-income groups of the population.
 
1600–
1730
 
  • Donald A. McIsaac, Lead Insurance Specialist, FSOPD, World Bank (Moderator)

Providing Access to Catastrophe Insurance Coverage for the Poor: The Aflife Experiment

Designing Affordable Catastrophe Insurance Coverage for the Poor

Delivering Low-Cost Effective Catastrophe Insurance Products to Lower Income Consumers: The Mexican Experience

Discussion — 20 minutes

     

Session X:
Concluding Remarks and Summary
(Preston Auditorium)

 
1730–
1745
 
  • Rodney Lester, Head of World Bank Insurance Practice, World Bank
     
1745  

Adjournment

 

 

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